Ken Ring, the New Zealand long-range forecaster and author of the Weather Almanac for Ireland for 2015, predicted that June would bring summer conditions, with the second week sunny and dry, the third week wet, and then some dry days in the fourth week. West Cork People asked Ken what the remainder of summer might bring. Here is his report for the region.
July is expected to start wet, with most of the month’s rain over the first and fourth weeks. Sadly some form of rain may be expected on about two thirds of the days of the month. However, the second and third weeks have only passing showers and should be mainly dry, and also the last four days. There may be about equal sunny and cloudy days, with the sunniest periods around the 18th-20th and 28th-30th and the cloudiest around 3rd-6th and 21st-27th. The warmest days are around the 16th-21st, with daytime temperatures possibly reaching above 20C only during that interval. The strongest winds may be around 7th, 8th, and 12th.
August is sunny in the first week, then wet in the second week, but with most rain in the third week. It may end up a wet month despite the initial promise of a drier first week after which there may be no run of dry days beyond three. Although temperatures might reach above 20C only on a couple of days it will still feel like a mild to warm month overall. Wet times may be around 9th, 14th-17th, 21st and 30th, and dry days around the 1st-5th, 10th-12th, 18th-19th, 23rd-24th and 28th. The sunny periods are around the 1st-2nd, 4th, 8th, 24th and 28th and cloudy times 14th-17th and 30th. Due to heavy falls and higher tides there are chances of flooding around 15th and 31st in low-lying areas
September is overall wet, sunny and warm. The month starts off dry for first few days followed by rain in the second week, dry between the 18th-21st, wet in the fourth week, then mostly dry for the 28th-30th. The second week is the wettest and the third week the driest, so it may be wise to only book the third week for any important outdoor event. The warmest temperatures come around the start of the month. The wettest time may be between the 6th and 14th and the driest period from the 15th-25th.
Allow a 24-hour leeway for all forecasts.
For more visit Ken’s website at www.predictweather.com. His 2015 almanac is still available, and the 2016 version will be released around October. The weather calendar for Munster (south) region is available at www.predictweather.co.nz. For other enquiries email Ken at firstname.lastname@example.org.